Climate scientists sharpen tools for linking global warming to extreme weather
By Julia Vaz , Science. Excerpt: June’s European heat wave, in which temperatures above 40°C led to the deaths of more than 10,000 people, made headlines not just for its severity, but for what it said about climate change. Last week, a group called World Weather Attribution (WWA) linked it firmly to global warming, saying such a heat wave would have been “virtually impossible” 50 years ago. It was a high-profile claim from a field called extreme event attribution, which seeks to gauge how global warming impacted a particular heat wave, flood, or storm. The field is still evolving, according to a report released today by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM). ...In the past decade, attribution science has advanced rapidly , with the annual number of studies more than doubling since 2012, according to the report. Better climate models, longer observational records, and more sophisticated statistical techniques have all improved researchers’ abiliti...