The growing threat of multiyear droughts
By David L. Hoover and William K. Smith , Science. Excerpt: Droughts have major societal and ecological impacts, including drinking water shortages, crop failures, tree mortality, wildfires, and reduced ecosystem productivity ( 1 ). Shifts in the hydrological cycle and continued warming with climate change are leading to rapidly evolving droughts that are more intense and longer lasting ( 2 ). Extreme but short-term droughts (<1 year) can have a wide range of consequences, depending on the severity and timing of the drought as well as an ecosystem’s resistance ( 3 , 4 ). However, as a drought extends to a multiyear event, these ecological effects can amplify because short-lived buffering from physiological adaptations or water storage may weaken, leading to longer-lasting results ( 4 ). On page 278 of this issue, Chen et al . ( 5 ) report that increasing precipitation anomalies and atmospheric moisture demands are leading to multiyear droughts ...